Recession

This tag is associated with 87 posts

Will NIRP Cause A Systemic Event?

By Phoenix Capital Research Are Central Bankers delusional? Over the weekend, Benoît Cœuré, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, penned a piece defending the ECB’s policies from the criticism that NIRP hurts savers. The first paragraph reveals, quite clearly, just how lost the ECB is regarding the efficacy of its policies. Is the … Continue reading

The Calm Before The Coming Global Storm

By Pepe Escobar Major turbulence seems to be the name of the game in 2016. Yet the current turbulence may be interpreted as the calm before the next, devastating geopolitical/financial storm. Let’s review the current state of play via the dilemmas afflicting the House of Saud, the EU and BRICS members Russia, Brazil and China.   … Continue reading

Venezuela’s Largest Brewery Halts Production As Economy Sinks Deeper Into The Abyss

As the crisis in Venezuela deepens, its largest brew maker has suspended the production of beer and other malt beverages on Friday amid a spat with the government over the access to foreign currency. Cervecería Polar, Venezuela’s largest private company and largest beer maker, with over 70 years in operation, had warned that it would end production as the socialist government was refusing … Continue reading

Where It All Went Wrong: The U.S. ‘Recovery’ Is Hollow, The Fed’s Growth Narrative Is False

By Jeffrey P. Snider, Alhambra Investment Partners With the housing recovery, it is perhaps because it has been much more visible and earnest that the disparity is more easily appreciated and understood. Prices have surged in some places as much as the housing mania portion of the great bubble of the 2000’s, yet that has taken … Continue reading

How Long Before The Global Financial System Fails?

By Egon Von Greyerz, Goldbroker.com The global economy turned down in earnest already in 2006 but with a massive worldwide printing and lending programme, the world has had a temporary stay of execution. But the effect of this fabricated money has now come to an end. And what else would you expect. To print money that … Continue reading

The U.S. Economy Officially Joins The Global Economic Slowdown

By Michael Snyder Even the government is admitting that the U.S. economy is slowing down.  On Thursday, we learned that U.S. GDP grew at just a 0.5 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2016.  This was lower than analysts were anticipating, and it marks the third time in a row that the GDP number … Continue reading

Focused On The Wrong End Of Oil

By Jeffrey P. Snider The front end of the oil price complex continues to get all the attention because it seems to further the more optimistic narrative. It is the back end, however, that is most significant. The nearer maturities of the futures curve reflect more the funding environment than the fundamental view of oil and … Continue reading

A Gold Revaluation Could Transform Your Financial Status — Overnight

By David Smith, Money Metals Exchange As we move through 2016, the Horsemen of the geopolitical, economic, and social apocalypse are on the march. China burns through its currency reserves as billions in yuan flee the mainland for safe harbor. Japan prints mountains of yen debt in an effort to create inflation – and thereby … Continue reading

Chinese Dragon: Breathing Credit Fumes

By Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk Economic forecasting, no matter how complex the underlying model may be, is essentially about extrapolating historical trends. We showed last week how economic models completely fail to pick up on structural shifts using Japan as an example. On the other hand, if an economy doesn’t really change much, as in the case … Continue reading

The Thing About Economic Bubbles

By Jeff Fitchett There are tell-tale signs of bubbles. All throughout history bubbles have been formed, popped, a depression ensued and then another bubble formed.  The characteristics of bubbles are very similar. Group think is one of the key components. Rational thinking is set aside as more and more people crowd into a purchasing frenzy … Continue reading

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